The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- 33,000.01 or above 25% −5
- 30,500 to 30,999.99 8% —
- 32,500 to 33,000 8% —
- 31,000 to 31,499.99 7.5% —
- 31,500 to 31,999.99 7.5% −1
- 32,000 to 32,499.99 7.5% +1
- 29,000 to 29,499.99 5.5% +1
- 29,500 to 29,999.99 5.5% —
Traded today$868
Traded in all$4.4M
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
33,000.01 or above, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 20% · Sep 29: 20% · Sep 30: 24% · Oct 1: 25% · Oct 2: 26% · Oct 3: 28% · Oct 4: 28% · Oct 5: 27%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 33,000.01 or above; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 33000, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Settlement sources: For example, Google Finance
See it on Kalshi ↗