The odds
as of Oct 13, 23:19 UTC- Above 130,000 gallons 81% −1
- Above 140,000 gallons 67% −4
- Above 150,000 gallons 39% −9
- Above 160,000 gallons 15% −8
- Above 170,000 gallons 6.5% −1
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$31K
Traded in all$85K
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts
Above 130,000 gallons, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 85% · Oct 7: 85% · Oct 8: 85% · Oct 9: 85% · Oct 10: 85% · Oct 11: 85% · Oct 12: 85% · Oct 13: 81%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 130,000 gallons; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If USDA NASS reports that New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 is above 130,000 gallons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported 2027 New Hampshire maple syrup production, measured in gallons. Use Maple Syrup → Production → Gallons.
Settlement sources: USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
See it on Kalshi ↗