The odds
as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC- Before Feb 1, 2027 80% +30
- Before Jan 1, 2027 55% —
- Before Dec 16, 2026 36% —
- Before Dec 1, 2026 13% —
- Before Nov 20, 2026 9.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$32K
Traded in all$33K
Favourite, 7 days+30 pts
Before Feb 1, 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceHow it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Feb 1, 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If NVIDIA officially announces its next permanent CEO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. An interim or acting CEO appointment does not count.
Settlement sources: the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database; Fox Business; ABC; NVIDIA; CNBC; The Wall Street Journal; Financial Times; Bloomberg News; The Information; CBS; NBC; The Washington Post; MarketWatch; Axios; Reuters; CNN; The New York Times; MSNBC; the Associated Press; Politico; Yahoo Finance
See it on Kalshi ↗