The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Chance of yes 91% +1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$1.2M
Yes, 7 days+2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 88% · Sep 29: 88% · Sep 30: 90% · Oct 1: 88% · Oct 2: 89% · Oct 3: 90% · Oct 4: 90% · Oct 5: 91%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Settlement sources: For example, Google Finance
See it on Kalshi ↗