The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Above $1.0 trillion 27% −5
- Above $1.1 trillion 20% +1
- Above $1.4 trillion 11% —
- Above $1.5 trillion 12% —
- Above $1.7 trillion 8% +3
- Above $1.8 trillion 8% +4
- Above $1.9 trillion 8% —
- Above $500 billion 87% −10
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$662
Traded in all$92K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
Above $500 billion, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 27: 83% · Sep 29: 80% · Sep 30: 82% · Oct 1: 82% · Oct 2: 83% · Oct 3: 89% · Oct 4: 88% · Oct 5: 90%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $500 billion; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $500 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.
Settlement sources: Forbes
See it on Kalshi ↗