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PolymarketCloses January 11, 2027

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

$318K - $323K leads at 28% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 29, 02:24 UTC. It's down 5 points in the last 24 hours.

$318K - $323K 28% ▼ 5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 29, 02:24 UTC
  • $318K - $323K 28% −5
  • $313K - $318K 25% +8.5
  • $327K+ 19% −1.5
  • $323K - $327K 9.5% −17
  • $303K - $308K 8.9% +3.7
  • $308K - $313K 1.8% —
  • <$303K 1.7% —
Traded today$805
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−6 pts

$318K - $323K, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 21Oct 2928%

Oct 22: 34% · Oct 23: 36% · Oct 24: 35% · Oct 25: 34% · Oct 26: 36% · Oct 27: 34% · Oct 28: 28% · Oct 29: 28%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/62)
See it on Polymarket ↗

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