The odds
as of Nov 9, 11:15 UTC- Chance of yes 1.5% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$33K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 2: 1.8% · Nov 3: 1.8% · Nov 4: 1.8% · Nov 5: 1.8% · Nov 6: 1.8% · Nov 7: 1.8% · Nov 8: 1.7% · Nov 9: 1.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗