The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- 7,800 to 7,999.99 24% +1
- 8,000 to 8,199.99 17% +1
- 7,600 to 7,799.99 13% −1
- 7,400 to 7,599.99 9.5% −1
- 8,200 to 8,399.99 9% +2
- 7,200 to 7,399.99 5.5% +1
- 7,000 to 7,199.99 4.5% —
- 8,400 to 8,599.99 4.5% —
Traded today$29K
Traded in all$7.3M
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
7,800 to 7,999.99, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 20% · Sep 29: 19% · Sep 30: 19% · Oct 1: 18% · Oct 2: 19% · Oct 3: 21% · Oct 4: 25% · Oct 5: 26%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 7,800 to 7,999.99; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7800-7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Settlement sources: For example, Google Finance
See it on Kalshi ↗