The odds
as of Oct 8, 17:24 UTC- June 30, 2027 41% —
- March 31, 2027 25% —
- December 31, 2026 3.9% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$695
Traded in all$3.0M
Favourite, 7 days−9.5 pts
June 30, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 1: 55% · Oct 2: 56% · Oct 3: 47% · Oct 4: 46% · Oct 5: 46% · Oct 6: 41% · Oct 7: 41% · Oct 8: 41%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗