The odds
as of Oct 8, 20:27 UTC- Chance of yes 8.5% +1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$180K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 1: 8% · Oct 2: 7.2% · Oct 3: 7% · Oct 4: 6.8% · Oct 5: 7.2% · Oct 6: 7.2% · Oct 7: 7.3% · Oct 8: 8.4%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf any New York Stock Exchange marketwide circuit breaker is imposed after December 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: NYSE
See it on Kalshi ↗