The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Above $4.60 54% −0.5
- Above $4.80 36% —
- Above $5.00 31% +2
- Above $5.20 21% +4
- Above $5.40 16% +4
- Above $5.60 12% +3
- Above $5.80 9% −1
- Above $6.00 8% +1
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$1.8M
Favourite, 7 days−12 pts
Above $4.60, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 62% · Sep 29: 63% · Sep 30: 62% · Oct 1: 60% · Oct 2: 54% · Oct 3: 54% · Oct 4: 54% · Oct 5: 54%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $4.60; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: AAA
See it on Kalshi ↗