The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- Elon Musk 6.5% −3
- Nikita Bier 5% —
- Jimmy Donaldson 4% —
- Grok 3% −8
- Mahmoud Reza Banki 2.5% —
- Jack Dorsey 1% —
- Sam Altman 1% —
- Sriram Krishnan 1% −3
Traded today$666
Traded in all$101K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Elon Musk, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 8.5% · Sep 29: 9% · Sep 30: 8.5% · Oct 1: 7.5% · Oct 2: 5.5% · Oct 3: 6.5% · Oct 4: 6.5% · Oct 5: 6.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Elon Musk; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position.
Settlement sources: X
See it on Kalshi ↗