The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- 49.99 or below 17% +13
- 54.99 or below 3% —
- 55.99 or below 7.5% —
- 56.99 or below 5.5% —
- 57.99 or below 7% +1
- 58.99 or below 1% —
- 59.99 or below 8.5% —
- 60.99 or below 9% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$956
Traded in all$242K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
64.99 or below, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 23% · Sep 29: 21% · Sep 30: 21% · Oct 1: 22% · Oct 2: 19% · Oct 3: 19% · Oct 4: 22% · Oct 5: 19%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 64.99 or below; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $65 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: ICE
See it on Kalshi ↗