The odds
as of Nov 5, 23:15 UTC- March 31, 2027 21% —
- December 31, 2026 13% —
- November 30, 2026 6.5% —
- November 15, 2026 4% —
- November 8, 2026 2.6% —
- November 6, 2026 <1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$43K
Traded in all$43K
Favourite, 7 days−24 pts
March 31, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceHow it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗