The odds
as of Oct 22, 01:32 UTC- Yulia Navalnaya 10% −0.5
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 8.7% —
- Donald Trump 8.5% —
- UNRWA 8% +0.5
- Doctors Without Borders 7% —
- António Guterres 6.5% —
- International Criminal Court 6% −0.5
- Jimmy Lai 5.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Yulia Navalnaya, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 8% · Oct 16: 8% · Oct 17: 7.5% · Oct 18: 11% · Oct 19: 11% · Oct 20: 11% · Oct 21: 10% · Oct 22: 10%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner.
If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
See it on Polymarket ↗