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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

The market puts it at 5.5% — a long shot, about one in 18 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's up 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Chance of yes 5.5% +1
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$32K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 56%

Sep 28: 6.5% · Sep 29: 5% · Sep 30: 5% · Oct 1: 5% · Oct 2: 4.5% · Oct 3: 5.5% · Oct 4: 6% · Oct 5: 5.5%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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