The odds
as of Oct 8, 12:38 UTC- Chance of yes 6.1% +0.7
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$355K
Yes, 7 days+0.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 1: 5.5% · Oct 2: 5.6% · Oct 3: 5.4% · Oct 4: 5.4% · Oct 5: 5.4% · Oct 6: 5.4% · Oct 7: 5.4% · Oct 8: 6.2%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗