The odds
as of Oct 18, 16:23 UTC- Chance of yes 2.5% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$200K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 11: 2.7% · Oct 12: 2.6% · Oct 13: 2.6% · Oct 14: 2.6% · Oct 15: 2.6% · Oct 16: 2.6% · Oct 17: 2.6% · Oct 18: 2.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗