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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

The market puts it at 11% — a long shot, about one in 10 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 15, 13:26 UTC.

Yes 11%

The odds

as of Oct 15, 13:26 UTC
  • Chance of yes 11% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$637K
Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 7Oct 1511%

Oct 8: 11% · Oct 9: 11% · Oct 10: 11% · Oct 11: 11% · Oct 12: 11% · Oct 13: 11% · Oct 14: 11% · Oct 15: 11%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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