The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- December 31 19% −1
- October 31 7% +0.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$17K
Traded in all$7.3M
Favourite, 7 daysunch
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 19% · Sep 29: 18% · Sep 30: 18% · Oct 1: 20% · Oct 2: 20% · Oct 3: 20% · Oct 4: 19% · Oct 5: 19%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
See it on Polymarket ↗