The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- December 31 11% —
- October 31 1.4% −1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$338K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 11% · Sep 29: 11% · Sep 30: 12% · Oct 1: 11% · Oct 2: 11% · Oct 3: 11% · Oct 4: 11% · Oct 5: 11%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordIf U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗