The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 4.5% —
Traded today$754
Traded in all$3.4M
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 5.5% · Sep 29: 5.5% · Sep 30: 5.5% · Oct 1: 5.5% · Oct 2: 4.5% · Oct 3: 4.5% · Oct 4: 4.5% · Oct 5: 4.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
See it on Polymarket ↗