The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 22% —
Traded today$584
Traded in all$487K
Yes, 7 days+1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 25% · Sep 29: 22% · Sep 30: 22% · Oct 1: 22% · Oct 2: 22% · Oct 3: 22% · Oct 4: 22% · Oct 5: 22%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗