The odds
as of Oct 5, 21:23 UTC- Chance of yes 17% +3
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$310K
Yes, 7 days+1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 16% · Sep 29: 17% · Sep 30: 17% · Oct 1: 16% · Oct 2: 15% · Oct 3: 16% · Oct 4: 14% · Oct 5: 17%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf any object is confirmed to be an interstellar visitor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: in hierarchical order; the International Astronomical Union; NASA; the European Space Agency; the Minor Planet Center; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; Axios; Politico; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; NBC; BBC; Nature; Ars Technica; LiveScience; EarthSky; Scientific American
See it on Kalshi ↗