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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

The market puts it at 2.5% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Chance of yes 2.5% —
Traded today$15K
Traded in all$14.4M
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 53%

Sep 28: 3.6% · Sep 29: 3.5% · Sep 30: 3.3% · Oct 1: 2.8% · Oct 2: 2.6% · Oct 3: 2.6% · Oct 4: 2.6% · Oct 5: 2.5%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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