The odds
as of Oct 5, 21:23 UTC- Chance of yes 11% −2
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$2.2M
Yes, 7 days−4.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 16% · Sep 29: 17% · Sep 30: 15% · Oct 1: 17% · Oct 2: 14% · Oct 3: 13% · Oct 4: 13% · Oct 5: 11%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗