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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?

The market puts it at 13% — a long shot, about one in 8 — on Polymarket, as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 13% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC
  • Chance of yes 13% −1
Traded today$37K
Traded in all$38K
Yes, 7 days−22 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 1Nov 913%

Nov 2: 35% · Nov 3: 33% · Nov 4: 21% · Nov 5: 16% · Nov 6: 14% · Nov 7: 14% · Nov 8: 14% · Nov 9: 13%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryeh Deri ceases to be Leader of Shas for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aryeh Deri's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aryeh Deri and Shas; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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