The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- June 30, 2027 11% —
- December 31, 2026 2.6% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$76K
Traded in all$27.3M
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
June 30, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 12% · Sep 29: 12% · Sep 30: 11% · Oct 1: 11% · Oct 2: 9.5% · Oct 3: 11% · Oct 4: 11% · Oct 5: 11%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗