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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Netanyahu out by...?

The market puts it at 39% — about 4 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 2.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Chance of yes 39% −2.5
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$124.5M
Yes, 7 days+2 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 539%

Sep 28: 41% · Sep 29: 49% · Sep 30: 49% · Oct 1: 46% · Oct 2: 46% · Oct 3: 41% · Oct 4: 42% · Oct 5: 39%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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