Moving
"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by N… 75-100M 19% ▼−77New Zealand general election winner? National 95% ▲+59Köln vs Leipzig Leipzig 26% ▼−55USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...? November 15 72% ▲+50Pokhara Avengers vs Karnali Yaks Pokhara Avengers 84% ▲+49Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius Oskari Paldanius 93% ▲+48Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? Nithya Raman, 10-12% 17% ▼−43When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? Before Jan 1, 2029 48% ▼−34How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? $75B to $85B 38% ▲+33EPL: Managers out before 2027 Pierre Sage 91% ▲+21Next James Bond actor? Jack Lowden 37% ▲+20Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November? Google 53% ▲+20Worlds 2026 Winning Region LCK 63% ▼−19Pro Football Next Coach Out Nick Sirianni 36% ▲+19
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2028

Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?

Benjamin Netanyahu leads at 53% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 9, 09:22 UTC. It's up 8 points in the last 24 hours.

Benjamin Netanyahu 53% ▲ 8 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 9, 09:22 UTC
  • Benjamin Netanyahu 53% +8
  • No second mandate 48% −7
  • Avigdor Lieberman <1% —
  • Naftali Bennett <1% −1
  • Yair Golan <1% −1
  • Yair Lapid <1% —
  • Gadi Eizenkot <1% —
  • Benny Gantz <1% —
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts

Benjamin Netanyahu, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 7Nov 953%

Nov 7: 37% · Nov 8: 55% · Nov 9: 53%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Legislative elections were held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the second individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. Extensions of the first individual's mandate will not count as a second mandate. If the first individual is tasked with forming a government again, including via a petition of 61 members of the Knesset, this will not count; only a mandate given to a different individual will count as the second mandate. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no second individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. If the Knesset is dissolved or new elections are called before a second individual is tasked with forming a government, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

World

More markets like this

All →