The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Chance of yes 4.4% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$22.2M
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 4.3% · Sep 29: 4.3% · Sep 30: 4.6% · Oct 1: 4.4% · Oct 2: 4.4% · Oct 3: 4.4% · Oct 4: 4.4% · Oct 5: 4.4%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordIf Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗