The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Lindsay Clancy 20% −3
- Erling Haaland 16% +0.5
- Bad Bunny 10% —
- Joe Burrow 5.8% —
- Nicolás Maduro 5.3% —
- Alysa Liu 5% —
- Donald Trump 4.5% —
- Jude Bellingham 2.8% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$306K
Favourite, 7 days−9 pts
Lindsay Clancy, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 27% · Sep 29: 31% · Sep 30: 36% · Oct 1: 28% · Oct 2: 24% · Oct 3: 23% · Oct 4: 22% · Oct 5: 20%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
See it on Polymarket ↗