The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Chance of yes 17% —
Traded today$561
Traded in all$306K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 18% · Sep 29: 18% · Sep 30: 17% · Oct 1: 19% · Oct 2: 17% · Oct 3: 17% · Oct 4: 17% · Oct 5: 17%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗