Moving
Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Talarico by 5-10 5% ▼−85Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Nottingham Forest 94% ▲+73Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC Nottingham Forest FC 93% ▲+72Leganes vs Albacete Albacete 96% ▲+69Kansas City vs Angel City FC Tie 90% ▲+69CD Leganés vs. Albacete Balompié Albacete Balompié 95% ▲+69Morehead St. vs Marist Morehead St. 76% ▲+61University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Novemb… 49.0 to 51.9 75% ▲+52CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CS Independie… CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 81% ▲+52Mendoza vs Rivadavia Mendoza 80% ▲+51Robert Morris vs Duquesne Duquesne 30% ▼−50Riga FC vs. FC RFS Draw (Riga FC vs. FC RFS) 96% ▲+48Artnak vs Bigun Bor Artnak 96% ▲+46Osasuna vs Bilbao Tie 70% ▲+43
PolymarketCloses December 1, 2026

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Moonshot leads at 35% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC. It's up 5.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Moonshot 35% ▲ 5.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC
  • Moonshot 35% +5.5
  • Z.ai 21% −22
  • Alibaba 17% +6
  • Tencent 10% +5.5
  • Xiaomi 8.3% −1
  • DeepSeek 5.5% +1.4
  • Baidu 3.9% —
  • ByteDance 2.6% +1.6
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+8 pts

Moonshot, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 735%

Oct 31: 22% · Nov 1: 31% · Nov 2: 33% · Nov 3: 33% · Nov 4: 32% · Nov 5: 39% · Nov 6: 30% · Nov 7: 35%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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