The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Glasses 7.5% —
- Clip-on device for clothing 7.5% —
- Earbuds/Headphones 6.5% —
- Phone 4.5% —
- Ring 4.5% —
- Necklace 4.5% —
- Computer 4% —
- Head-mounted display 3.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$153K
Favourite, 7 days−4.5 pts
Glasses, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 11% · Sep 29: 7.5% · Sep 30: 7.5% · Oct 1: 7.5% · Oct 2: 7.5% · Oct 3: 7.5% · Oct 4: 7.5% · Oct 5: 7.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Glasses; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Glasses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.
Settlement sources: Sam Altman; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; The Wall Street Journal
See it on Kalshi ↗