The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Denver, CO 79% −1
- San Diego, CA 74% −5
- Tampa, FL 73% −9.7
- Las Vegas, NV 70% −4
- Philadelphia, PA 23% −3.5
- St. Louis, MO 14% −12
- Sacramento, CA 13% −8.5
- Charlotte, NC 11% +4
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$54K
Favourite, 7 days+6.5 pts
Denver, CO, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 73% · Sep 29: 69% · Sep 30: 73% · Oct 1: 75% · Oct 2: 75% · Oct 3: 77% · Oct 4: 79% · Oct 5: 79%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗