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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Jensen Huang arrested by...?

December 31, 2026 leads at 8.1% (a long shot, about one in 12) on Polymarket, as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC.

December 31, 2026 8.1%

The odds

as of Nov 12, 16:19 UTC
  • December 31, 2026 8.1% —
  • November 30, 2026 2.2% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$31K
Traded in all$31K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts

December 31, 2026, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 12Nov 129%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang, co-founder of NVIDIA, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying arrest occurs when Huang is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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