The odds
as of Nov 2, 21:15 UTC- Dua Lipa 57% +33
- Olivia Dean 38% +6
- Raye 21% —
- Lana Del Rey 17% —
- Lorde 10% —
- Oasis 10% +10
- Ed Sheeran 9% —
- The Weeknd 7% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$737
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days+38 pts
Dua Lipa, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 20% · Oct 27: 21% · Oct 28: 21% · Oct 29: 21% · Oct 30: 21% · Oct 31: 21% · Nov 1: 21% · Nov 2: 57%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Dua Lipa; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Dua Lipa performs the James Bond film theme, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: performer; official production company or studio releasing song; official credits of the release; the Recording Industry Association of America; Billboard; Rolling Stone; Variety; The Hollywood Reporter; Deadline; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; official websites or social media accounts of the production
See it on Kalshi ↗