The odds
as of Oct 5, 17:23 UTC- Above 45 97% —
- Above 50 94% —
- Above 55 91% —
- Above 60 81% —
- Above 65 72% —
- Above 70 65% +5
- Above 75 46% +2
- Above 80 34% +3
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$62K
Traded in all$175K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 45, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 97% · Sep 29: 97% · Sep 30: 97% · Oct 1: 97% · Oct 2: 97% · Oct 3: 97% · Oct 4: 97% · Oct 5: 97%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 45; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Nov 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes. Any references to Rotten Tomatoes or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rotten Tomatoes and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Rotten Tomatoes
See it on Kalshi ↗