The odds
as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC- Chance of yes 28% +9
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days+8 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 2: 21% · Nov 3: 21% · Nov 4: 20% · Nov 5: 14% · Nov 6: 14% · Nov 7: 32% · Nov 8: 24% · Nov 9: 28%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Jake Shane is on an episode Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jake Shane appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Jake Shane), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
Settlement sources: ABC
See it on Kalshi ↗