The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- above 13,500,000 81% —
- above 13,750,000 70% —
- above 14,000,000 63% —
- above 14,250,000 52% −2
- above 14,500,000 34% —
- above 14,600,000 26% −6
- above 14,700,000 21% —
- above 14,800,000 13% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$233K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
above 13,500,000, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 81% · Sep 29: 81% · Sep 30: 81% · Oct 1: 81% · Oct 2: 81% · Oct 3: 81% · Oct 4: 81% · Oct 5: 81%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, above 13,500,000; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the number of people who enter Broadway performances in New York City during The 2026–27 Broadway season is above 13500000, then the market resolves to Yes. “Attendance” means the Total Attendance reported by The Broadway League for the 2026–27 Broadway season. Each admission counts separately, including when the same individual attends multiple performances.
Settlement sources: The Broadway League.
See it on Kalshi ↗