The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:04 UTC- Dave Matthews Band 27% +15
- Bon Iver 23% +10
- Arctic Monkeys 19% —
- Kings of Leon 17% —
- Lana Del Rey 17% −36
- Foo Fighters 16% —
- The Killers 14% —
- Mumford & Sons 14% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$64K
Favourite, 7 days+14 pts
Dave Matthews Band, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 13% · Sep 29: 13% · Sep 30: 13% · Oct 1: 13% · Oct 2: 13% · Oct 3: 13% · Oct 4: 11% · Oct 5: 37%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Dave Matthews Band; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Dave Matthews Band is the a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.
Settlement sources: official account of ; ABC; in hierarchical order; Fox News; Vogue; Rolling Stone; The Source Agencies are; MSNBC; BBC; Reuters; Minnesota Yacht Club Festival; CNN; Billboard; NBC; the Associated Press; CBS; Variety; The New York Times; Bloomberg News
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