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PolymarketCloses December 20, 2026

"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office

400m+ leads at 45% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 6, 15:16 UTC. It's up 9.5 points in the last 24 hours.

400m+ 45% ▲ 9.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 6, 15:16 UTC
  • 400m+ 45% +9.5
  • 360m-400m 33% −0.5
  • 300m-340m 12% −3.5
  • 340m-360m 11% −0.5
  • 260m-300m 1.9% −5.5
  • <260m 1.7% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days−13 pts

400m+, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 31Nov 645%

Oct 31: 27% · Nov 1: 28% · Nov 2: 22% · Nov 3: 14% · Nov 4: 19% · Nov 5: 45% · Nov 6: 45%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
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