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KalshiCloses December 31, 2027

Oscar Winner: Best Actor

John Malkovich leads at 37% (about 4 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC. It's down 2 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC
  • John Malkovich 37% −2
  • Matt Damon 26% +1
  • Andrew Scott 22% −1
  • Tom Cruise 14% +1
  • Robert Pattinson 3.5% —
  • Jeremy Strong 1.5% −1
  • Ryan Gosling 1.5% —
  • Timothée Chalamet 1.5% —
Traded today$23K
Traded in all$1.1M
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts

John Malkovich, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 537%

Sep 28: 34% · Sep 29: 35% · Sep 30: 36% · Oct 1: 36% · Oct 2: 36% · Oct 3: 37% · Oct 4: 37% · Oct 5: 37%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, John Malkovich; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If John Malkovich has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99 Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences

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