The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Dior 70% +6
- Oscar de la Renta 6% −3
- Monse 6% —
- Vera Wang 5.5% —
- Vivienne Westwood 5% —
- Monique Lhuillier 5% —
- Balmain 5% —
- Zuhair Murad 4.5% −3
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$904
Traded in all$395K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
Dior, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 57% · Sep 29: 58% · Sep 30: 65% · Oct 1: 59% · Oct 2: 56% · Oct 3: 62% · Oct 4: 61% · Oct 5: 70%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Dior; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Taylor Swift is documented wearing a wedding dress designed by Dior during Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must be photographed or video recorded with the article of clothing visibly worn on their body as intended (e.g., a jacket on the torso, not carried or draped). Valid documentation includes official event photography, live television coverage, professional photography from Source Agencies, or video footage from Source Agencies. The person must be clearly identifiable. Carrying, holding, or draping the item without properly wearing it does not qualify. Similar but not identical items do not satisfy the criterion. Documentation where the person cannot be clearly identified does not count toward resolution.
Settlement sources: Taylor Swift; Vogue; Harper's Bazaar; Financial Times; BBC News; Fox News; The Wall Street Journal; E! News; TMZ; Entertainment Tonight; People; POLITICO; The Guardian; The Washington Post; Variety; The New York Times; Axios; Reuters; CBS News; ESPN; NBC News; CNN; the Associated Press; ABC News; Getty Images; Bloomberg News
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