The odds
as of Oct 17, 05:22 UTC- The Odyssey 93% +4
- The Black Ball 83% —
- The Invite 80% —
- Project Hail Mary 77% +3
- All of a Sudden 51% +1
- Dune: Part Three 37% +4
- Ink 24% —
- Wildwood 17% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$43K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
The Odyssey, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 9: 87% · Oct 10: 89% · Oct 12: 90% · Oct 13: 89% · Oct 14: 89% · Oct 16: 93%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 17, 05:22 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, The Odyssey; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If The Odyssey has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗