The odds
as of Oct 31, 20:15 UTC- Rank 1 to 2 54% −1
- Rank 3 to 4 18% +1
- Rank 5 to 6 9.5% —
- Rank 7 to 10 6.5% —
- Rank 11 to 15 6.5% +1
- Rank 16 to 20 2.5% —
- Rank 21 to 30 2.5% —
- Rank 31 to 40 1.5% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts
Rank 1 to 2, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 41% · Oct 27: 8.5% · Oct 28: 14% · Oct 29: 43% · Oct 30: 54% · Oct 31: 54%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Rank 1 to 2; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If "All I Want for Christmas Is You" by Mariah Carey ranks between No. 1 and No. 2, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Dec 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Billboard
See it on Kalshi ↗