Moving
Mistral Large 4: Text Arena Debut? 1430+ 8% ▼−85100 Thieves vs. Shopify Rebellion 100 Thieves 96% ▲+59Ucv Moquegua vs Cienciano Cienciano 96% ▲+53Baycurrent Classic: Top 20 Finishers Jordan L. Smith 75% ▲+43Bank of Mexico Decision in November? No change 54% ▼−41Virtus Bologna vs Bayern Munich Bayern Munich 31% ▼−38ENJOY vs. MORROW ENJOY 89% ▲+38Rivadeneira Gallegos vs Salazar Daniel Salazar 85% ▲+37Black Phoenix vs. Sinners Sinners 57% ▼−35Steam: Weekly Top Seller Gears of War: E-Day 27% ▼−32Sri Lanka Emerging Players vs BBK Partnership Sri Lanka Emerging Players 95% ▲+32Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greec… December 31 39% ▲+31Rocks vs Eastern Storm Rocks 72% ▲+30ATP Shanghai Winner Sebastian Baez 64% ▲+30
KalshiCloses January 1, 2028

Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?

Widespread Panic leads at 88% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 8, 19:23 UTC.

Widespread Panic 88%

The odds

as of Oct 8, 19:23 UTC
  • Widespread Panic 88% —
  • The String Cheese Incident 88% —
  • Blues Traveler 88% —
  • The Avett Brothers 88% —
  • Slightly Stoopid 87% —
  • Rebelution 84% —
  • Gregory Alan Isakov 82% —
  • Joe Bonamassa 82% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$1K
Traded in all$289K
Favourite, 7 daysunch

Widespread Panic, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 30Oct 888%

Oct 1: 88% · Oct 2: 88% · Oct 3: 88% · Oct 4: 88% · Oct 5: 88% · Oct 6: 88% · Oct 7: 88% · Oct 8: 88%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Widespread Panic; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Widespread Panic performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources: Red Rocks

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