The odds
as of Oct 5, 04:33 UTC- Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue 76% −1
- Noah Kahan 64% −9
- Jon Batiste 60% −17
- The Revivalists 39% —
- Big Freedia 35% −20
- Tedeschi Trucks Band 33% —
- Irma Thomas 31% +4
- Widespread Panic 28% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$151K
Favourite, 7 days−4.5 pts
Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 81% · Sep 29: 81% · Sep 30: 81% · Oct 1: 81% · Oct 2: 66% · Oct 3: 69% · Oct 4: 62% · Oct 5: 76%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.
Settlement sources: official account of ; ABC; in hierarchical order; Fox News; Vogue; Rolling Stone; The Source Agencies are; MSNBC; BBC; Reuters; New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival; CNN; Billboard; NBC; the Associated Press; CBS; Variety; The New York Times; Bloomberg News
See it on Kalshi ↗