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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

The market puts it at 9% — a long shot, about one in 11 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 1.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Chance of yes 9% −1.5
Traded today$755
Traded in all$513K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 59%

Sep 28: 11% · Sep 29: 6.5% · Sep 30: 11% · Oct 1: 10% · Oct 2: 11% · Oct 3: 11% · Oct 4: 8.5% · Oct 5: 9%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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